Without Voter ID Laws Can Donald Trump Win in November?
With the November presidential election just under 100 days away, GOP nominee Donald Trump invoked the right-wing’s voter impersonation fraud conspiracy while simultaneously decrying that the election itself will be rigged.
Although the timing of this prediction happens to coincide with Trump’s very public battle with the Khans, a Gold Star Family; his comment could also be a cry of frustration echoed in the recent striking down of unconstitutional voter ID laws all across the country.
Republicans ignore the fact that Loyola University professor Justin Levitt’s 2014 study of voter fraud found that there were only 31 credible allegations of in-person voter fraud among the more than 1 billion votes cast in “general, primary, special, and municipal elections from 2000 through 2014.”
Indeed, Journalist Christopher Ingraham found that “there is overwhelming scholarly and legal consensus that voter fraud is vanishingly rare”.
- Columbia University study showed “a review of news stories over a recent two year period found that reports of voter fraud were most often limited to local races and individual acts and fell into three categories: unsubstantiated or false claims by the loser of a close race, mischief and administrative or voter error”
- Stanford and the University of Wisconsin found “the notion that voter impersonation is a widespread behavior is totally contradicted by these data”
- Washington University discovered “only 9 federal election fraud cases occurring between 2000 and 2005”
Now US District courts have denounced these discriminatory Jim Crow throw-back laws in states such as Texas, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Kansas and North Dakota for failing to show there is a need for such legislation and that those laws do not restrict minorities’ ability to vote.
For example, a federal court in Texas found their voter ID law “had a direct discriminatory impact on voters”, while the 4th Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that North Carolina’s tricks such as “shortening the early voting period and banning same-day registration” were designed “with discriminatory intent”.
Wisconsin’s voter ID law was gutted by a US District Court Judge, and the Kansas version was also struck down for actively preventing minorities from voting “in state and local elections”.
In response to the court’s decision, Governor Scott Walker told Fox News: “for us, it is simple. We want to make it easier to vote, but hard to cheat. Our state is — you look at the facts. Our state has one of the highest voter participation rates in the entire country. Why? Because we make it easy to vote, but we make it hard to cheat. In our state, you need a driver’s license, you can get a state issued ID card for free at our DMV offices. If you’re a veteran, you can use your veteran’s card. But we make it, so we make it easy to vote. You can vote same day with voter registration. You just gotta have that voter ID along with. But we also make it hard to cheat. And that’s the difference.”
And while the chicanery of the GOP is being exposed, Trump told one media outlet that because of these rulings, the election would be “rigged” against him which would most certainly cost him his bid for the presidency.
Trump said: “If the election is rigged, I would not be surprised. The voter ID situation has turned out to be a very unfair development. We may have people vote 10 times.”
The reason for Trump’s concern is “that states without strict identification requirements would see rampant repeat voters.”
In fact, Trump told Fox News: “If you don’t have voter ID, you can just keep voting and voting and voting.”
This new conspiracy touted by Trump comes on the heels of a comment Roger Stone made to a right-wing media outlet the same day as his friend was on Fox News, claiming that Trump should blame voter fraud if he were to lose the 2016 election to Hillary Clinton.
Stone said: “He needs to say for example, today would be a perfect example: ‘I am leading in Florida. The polls all show it. If I lose Florida, we will know that there’s voter fraud. If there’s voter fraud, this election will be illegitimate, the election of the winner will be illegitimate, we will have a constitutional crisis, widespread civil disobedience, and the government will no longer be the government’. I think he’s gotta put them on notice that their inauguration will be a rhetorical [bloodbath], and when I mean civil disobedience, not violence, but it will be a bloodbath. The government will be shut down if they attempt to steal this and swear Hillary in. No, we will not stand for it. We will not stand for it.”